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Topic 177 · Economy, Budget & Banking

Monsoon forecast cut and the economy

10 MCQs · tap an option to check it · All answers

Revise the 12 points first Book 1 RATNA

Core Trigger: On 29 May 2026 IMD cut its monsoon forecast to 90% of the Long Period Average, from 92% on 13 April.
Outlook: IMD gave a 60% chance of a deficient season as neutral ENSO conditions moved towards El Nino.
Official Voice: Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan warned on 23 June 2026 of a possible 'super' El Nino.
Onset: The monsoon reached Kerala on 4 June 2026, three days after the normal date of 1 June.
Data Point: June 2026 rain was 99.5 mm against an LPA of 165.3 mm, a shortfall of 39.8%.
Stakeholders: Only about 55% of net sown area is irrigated; food carries about two-fifths of the Consumer Price Index weight.
India Link: A poor monsoon cuts farm output, rural incomes and demand and lifts food prices; the RBI cautioned on growth.
Headquarters: The India Meteorological Department, under the Ministry of Earth Sciences, is headquartered in New Delhi.
Founded: IMD was established in 1875, with H.F. Blanford as Meteorological Reporter.
Landmark: IMD has issued two-stage operational long-range monsoon forecasts, in April and end-May, since 2003.
Key Term: The LPA is the 1971-2020 average June-September rainfall, 87 cm; below 90% of it is deficient and 96-104% normal.
Doctrine: El Nino weakens or delays the monsoon; La Nina usually strengthens it; a positive Indian Ocean Dipole raises rain.

Question 1 of 10

On 29 May 2026 IMD cut its monsoon forecast to what share of the Long Period Average?

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Answer: (B) 90%

Core Trigger: On 29 May 2026 IMD cut its monsoon forecast to 90% of the Long Period Average, from 92% on 13 April.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 1

Question 2 of 10

IMD gave what chance of a deficient monsoon season as ENSO conditions moved towards El Nino?

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Answer: (D) 60%

Outlook: IMD gave a 60% chance of a deficient season as neutral ENSO conditions moved towards El Nino.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 2

Question 3 of 10

Which Union Minister warned on 23 June 2026 of a possible 'super' El Nino?

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Answer: (A) Shivraj Singh Chouhan

Official Voice: Agriculture Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan warned on 23 June 2026 of a possible 'super' El Nino.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 3

Question 4 of 10

The monsoon reached Kerala on 4 June 2026, how many days after its normal onset date?

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Answer: (A) Three days

Onset: The monsoon reached Kerala on 4 June 2026, three days after the normal date of 1 June.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 4

Question 5 of 10

June 2026 rainfall fell short of the LPA by what percentage?

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Answer: (B) 39.8%

Data Point: June 2026 rain was 99.5 mm against an LPA of 165.3 mm, a shortfall of 39.8%.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 5

Question 6 of 10

About what share of India's net sown area is irrigated?

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Answer: (C) 55%

Stakeholders: Only about 55% of net sown area is irrigated; food carries about two-fifths of the Consumer Price Index weight.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 6

Question 7 of 10

The India Meteorological Department is headquartered in which city?

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Answer: (C) New Delhi

Headquarters: The India Meteorological Department, under the Ministry of Earth Sciences, is headquartered in New Delhi.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 8

Question 8 of 10

Consider: 1. IMD was established in 1875. 2. IMD functions under the Ministry of Home Affairs. Which is/are correct?

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Answer: (A) Only 1

Founded: IMD was established in 1875, with H.F. Blanford as Meteorological Reporter.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 9

Question 9 of 10

IMD has issued two-stage operational long-range monsoon forecasts since which year?

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Answer: (B) 2003

Landmark: IMD has issued two-stage operational long-range monsoon forecasts, in April and end-May, since 2003.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 10

Question 10 of 10

Consider: 1. The LPA is the 1971-2020 average June-September rainfall. 2. Rainfall of 96-104% of the LPA is classed normal. Which is/are correct?

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Answer: (C) Both 1 and 2

Key Term: The LPA is the 1971-2020 average June-September rainfall, 87 cm; below 90% of it is deficient and 96-104% normal.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 177, point 11

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