CLAT GurukulSamudraManthan

Topic 281 · Answers

Monsoon 2026: below-normal forecast and drivers

All 10 answers, each with its Book 1 RATNA fact. Try the questions first

  1. Question 1Answer D

    On 29 May 2026 IMD cut its monsoon forecast from 92% to what share of the LPA?

    • 88%
    • 96%
    • 94%
    • Correct answer: 90%

    Core Trigger: On 29 May 2026 IMD cut its monsoon forecast to 90% of the Long Period Average from 92%, citing developing El Nino.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 1

  2. Question 2Answer C

    What model error did IMD's 29 May 2026 monsoon forecast carry?

    • Plus or minus 6%
    • Plus or minus 2%
    • Correct answer: Plus or minus 4%
    • Plus or minus 8%

    Forecast Odds: The model error is ±4%; IMD gave an 84% chance of below-normal rain and 60% of 'deficient'.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 2

  3. Question 3Answer D

    At what rate did the MPC under Governor Sanjay Malhotra hold repo on 5 June 2026?

    • 5.50%
    • 5.00%
    • 6.00%
    • Correct answer: 5.25%

    Linked Head: RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra's MPC held repo at 5.25% on 5 June 2026, flagging El Nino as a food-inflation risk.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 3

  4. Question 4Answer C

    The Long Period Average of June to September monsoon rainfall is how much?

    • 76 cm
    • 96 cm
    • Correct answer: 87 cm
    • 100 cm

    Benchmark: The LPA is 87 cm, the June–September average for 1971–2020.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 4

  5. Question 5Answer B

    In IMD's categories, which range of LPA counts as normal rainfall?

    • 90 to 95%
    • Correct answer: 96 to 104%
    • 105 to 110%
    • Below 90%

    Data / Report: IMD categories as % of LPA: deficient under 90; below normal 90–95; normal 96–104; above normal 105–110; excess over 110.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 5

  6. Question 6Answer A

    Which is/are correct? 1. Neutral ENSO was moving towards El Nino. 2. The Indian Ocean Dipole was expected to turn strongly positive.

    • Correct answer: Only 1
    • Only 2
    • Both 1 and 2
    • Neither

    Drivers: Neutral ENSO was moving towards El Nino, while the Indian Ocean Dipole was expected to stay neutral.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 6

  7. Question 7Answer A

    Where is IMD headquartered?

    • Correct answer: New Delhi
    • Pune
    • Kolkata
    • Mumbai

    Headquarters: IMD works under the Ministry of Earth Sciences and is headquartered in New Delhi.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 8

  8. Question 8Answer B

    In which year was IMD established?

    • 1864
    • Correct answer: 1875
    • 1901
    • 1866

    Founded: IMD was established in 1875, after the 1864 Calcutta cyclone and monsoon failures of 1866 and 1871.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 9

  9. Question 9Answer A

    At IMD's 150th Foundation Day, PM Modi launched which mission?

    • Correct answer: Mission Mausam
    • Mission Shakti
    • Mission Amrit Sarovar
    • Mission LiFE

    Landmark: At IMD's 150th Foundation Day on 14 January 2025, PM Modi launched Mission Mausam.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 10

  10. Question 10Answer B

    Which is/are correct? 1. A positive Indian Ocean Dipole usually weakens the monsoon. 2. El Nino is the warm ENSO phase that usually weakens the monsoon.

    • Only 1
    • Correct answer: Only 2
    • Both 1 and 2
    • Neither

    Definition: El Nino is the warm ENSO phase that usually weakens the monsoon; a positive Indian Ocean Dipole usually aids it.From Book 1 RATNA, topic 281, point 12

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